Ian Begg
speaker
41 appearances
1 recordings
1 series
first heard May 2013
last heard May 2013
Ian Begg’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
Trend
recordings per month · last 12 monthsNo recordings in the last 12 months.Older appearances are listed below; set an alert to hear about the next one.
Appearances
But then who is Britain in this context?
The trade unions actually welcome that particular provision.
The employers deplore it.
The government rails against it.
UKIP is on its high horse every time they hear about the working time directive.
So different bits of Britain will interpret the same phenomenon in different ways about whether it's a good or a bad thing.
Well, I have to confess some responsibility for this number from having done some work as long ago as the year 2000 on this.
And what I did as an attempted empirical exercise was to say, where do British exports go?
And if you take the car industry as one example, perhaps 80% of the car industry's production is exported to other parts of the world.
If within that 80, half goes to the European Union, that means that 40% of the car industry's output goes to the European Union.
40% of the car industry workers depend in some way on the European Union's demand.
You might think that's a very simplistic way of doing it, but it's not that bad as a back of the envelope form of calculation.
It's a very different matter to say that if we left the European Union, all these jobs would go.
Plenty of them wouldn't.
There's no reason for a German consumer, were we to leave the European Union, no longer to buy a British car.
They may over time face obstacles to buying that car because, let's say, the Germans impose a small tariff against Britain or make it more difficult to conform to the standards that are expected.
In that case, you might see a gradual erosion of Britain's market share in Germany, and that gradual erosion would, in a limited way, jeopardize British jobs.
But once again, you're in the world of assumptions.
I think as an order of magnitude, the three to three and a half million jobs is reasonable.
I'm sure somebody could dispute a particular element of my calculation, but it's not an unreasonable assumption.
Showing 21–40 of 41 · page 2 of 3
← Previous
Next →