Ian Bremmer

So the reality is that even if you don't trust

or rely on the United States as a security ally, you don't have many good options.

And it will take you a very long time, even for the Europeans who see this as an existential need.

Yes, they're spending a lot of money on Ukraine, but they're buying American weapons.

Yes, they're stepping up their own security, but they know, as Mark Rutte, the Secretary General of NATO said in the last few days,

how essential the Americans still are for the foreseeable future.

Where when you think of the global economy, there are options.

I mean, even Canada, which is so incredibly dependent on the United States, has the ability to diversify more effectively with the Europeans, with the Chinese, with others.

And that's particularly true.

India, for example,

The United States pushes India hard despite the relationship that Trump and Modi have.

And Modi takes his time in doing a deal with the Americans and instead steps up his relations with the EU and with the Australians and stabilizes with China and the rest.

So that effort that we are seeing to hedge

is mostly happening in diversifying away from U.S.

trade, from U.S.

capital.

And those things, once they happen, they do have much more long-term implications.

I don't think it's empowering Russia at all.

I do think it is empowering China.

Russia's dug its own grave.