Ian Graham
speaker
54 appearances
2 recordings
1 series
first heard Jul 2026
last heard 18 Jul
Ian Graham’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
Trend
recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 2 in all, peaking in Jul 2026 with 2.
Appearances
That being said, it's pretty unusual that this was the result.
So we simulated the tournament 100,000 times.
We found the most likely set of semi-finalists.
It was the set of semi-finalists that was observed.
But we also found there's only about a 0.9% chance that all four of those teams would qualify for the semi-finals.
So XG stands for expected goals.
It's one of the worst names in sport.
Think of it as chance quality.
So there's a very low number of goals in football.
So in order to get more data about each game, you can look at the number of shots each team takes.
Each team takes about 10 times the number of shots than there are goals in a game.
So a penalty's got about a 78% chance of being converted.
A typical shot from open play's got an 11% chance of being converted.
And then a generic shot from open play on the penalty spot's got about a 20% conversion chance.
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