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Jake Silverman

πŸ‘€ Speaker
196 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

And then I guess it makes you wonder, what is the outcome?

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

Let's play the tape even further than that.

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

Because in Toronto, it's not as meaningful.

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

We have 30,000 and they're not buying any, but the megafunds are going to do a billion dollars each.

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

They're buying 1,000 units.

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

It's a drop in the bucket.

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

It's not going to move the market materially.

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

Yeah.

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

Let's say that they're telling the truth that they're going to buy them below market value and market value is currently at 900 a foot and they were previously at 1200 a foot and now the government is going to buy them at $800 a foot or whatever.

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

The government has now moved the market down and we've seen builders transact at prices and those are now comparables that are going to close that appraisers can use.

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

that are reflective of market value.

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

And then a year from now, after this process has gone through and you have downward price discovery and downward price momentum, you still have two thirds of the inventory that needs to clear.

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

The builders aren't just going to not sell that, right?

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

So the question becomes, how does this interact with the actual price discovery?

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

Is it actually going to help prices, expedite prices going down?

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

Or is it an attempt to floor the prices?

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

I don't really know the answer to the question, but that's the economic...

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

Yeah, that's like all bailouts, right?

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

If they purchase them in a profit-taking position, but if the developers are taking a loss in order for this transaction to take place, then it would be a little bit less of that.

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

Let's say the outcome, there's two ways that you can arrive at the same outcome.