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Jake Silverman

πŸ‘€ Speaker
196 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

If I'm a developer and I'm going to take a 10% loss on the remaining units that I have unsold, I'm either going to do that by taking them into inventory now and

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

bleeding out on my inventory loan payment each month and then maybe eventually going delinquent or having to sell them to the market at a loss and continually chase the market down.

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

And that allows for maybe more organic price discovery, which I would prefer, right?

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

Or

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

I go delinquent and the lender takes them back and they sell them at a loss.

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

Either way, I end up in a loss position or the government buys them at a deep discount and I realize the loss that way.

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

I don't think that this is appropriate, period, and I agree with you and I'm not trying to say that I do, but if that's what they're proposing...

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

I think that they're doing so to make it more palatable than, hey, we're going to give these guys the original strike price of the pre-con YOLO buyers who were paying $1,200 or $1,400 a foot, and they're going to materialize all of their profits.

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

That's beyond a bailout at that point.

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

That's my assumption here.

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

Like, I don't think it's governments are never proactive.

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

Well, I underwrote that this was the case three years ago.

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

We calculated at values then when they're down 10% from that.

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

But Ben and I ran a report for a couple of guys that we calculated there was like 30 billion in unrealized losses in the market.

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

And the exposure to the capital stack, the construction loans for this was your charter banks.

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

when the government steps in to bail out these entities, that is an admission that this is a systemically significant event and that it requires government support for them to do it.

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

Should we let all of these entities fail so that we can experience what I would call economic Darwinism and evolution by natural selection?

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

Yes, I agree with that.

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

I totally agree.

The Loonie Hour
Are Canadian Tax Payers Bailing Out Developers?

And I think it's really easy for most people to say that, but also most people are not positioned like,