James (Jim) Bullard

speaker
99 appearances 2 recordings 2 series first heard Aug 2025 last heard Sep 2025

James (Jim) Bullard’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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I thought there was quite a bit of talk about the labor market at the beginning.
You know, you could have been a little more emphasis on the low unemployment rate, for instance.
And, you know, he did come out at the end of that discussion saying, well, it's in balance, but we're a little bit nervous.
So I think, you know, I think he's accurately describing where the bulk of the committee is.
Yeah, what he did at the end of that discussion, he said, well, it's in balance.
But I think the committee's nervous.
I think it has been slowing.
And I think the policy rate is moderately restrictive, is maybe, you know, 125 basis points above the neutral rate.
Is that really where you want to be in this circumstance?
I think the answer is no.
So you can come down some and still have
moderately restrictive monetary policy that puts gentle downward pressure on inflation.
And then the other thing I think has happened is that this argument from Chris Waller and others on the committee that you should look through the one-time increase in goods prices coming from tariffs.
I think that's carrying the day.
And then he emphasized that inflation expectations remain anchored and so on.
And so I think that sets up a modest move downward in September.
Yeah, I want to see due process around something like this.
I want to see, you know, you can make charges against anybody about anything, I guess.
And, you know, the person can answer the charges and the DOJ can decide what they want to do and so on.
So I think this has...
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