James Stewart
speaker
4,486 appearances
22 recordings
2 series
first heard Apr 2025
last heard 2d ago
James Stewart’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 17 in all, peaking in Sep 2026 with 3.
Appearances
Now, that's just the estimate for an average El Nino.
So a super El Nino would be far more devastating.
None of that makes for great reading at all, does it really?
There's nothing remotely super about any of this for us at all, which does sort of beg the question, why is this happening in the first place?
Well, you might assume it's because of global warming, which is sort of what I think as well, but bear with me here because this sounds like a bit of a cop-out, but scientists are actually continuing to study how global warming affects the El Niño-Southern Oscillation Cycle, and the truth, they say, isn't clear-cut.
Look, as I've alluded to in this video, El Niño isn't new, nor is it particularly special.
It used to be like that uncle you saw at family events every couple of years who sort of said something weird and then you never saw him again until the next event, but this time something is clearly different.
The UN's warned that Earth's climate is further out of balance right now than at any other time in recorded history, so how can both things be true?
I mean, based on that, good old Uncle Enzo would have rocked up to the party at some point anyway, right?
Well, yeah, but today's ocean is warmer than decades past.
The WMO notes that 2015 to 2025 ocean temperatures were the hottest 11-year span on record, with Earth gaining heat faster than ever.
More than 90% of the Earth's extra energy also heats the oceans, and according to the WMO, the heat stored in the upper two kilometers of global oceans reached a new high in 2025.
Over the last two decades it's been warming more than twice as quickly as it was during the late 20th century.
Add into that a series of late winter westerly windbursts that have injected heat eastwards, pumping up the tropical pacific's heat content even more, and the stage is set for a potentially very strong or even super event.
If or indeed when that happens, it will escalate into a super El Niño, the likes of which we've only seen a few times in history, and that will supercharge global warming and extremes around the planet.
Noah's Climate Prediction Center updates their ENSO predictions once a month.
So maybe by the time you're watching this, we'll have more information.
We may even be in the midst of a Super El Niño.
But what we do know is that Super El Niños have happened before and they will likely happen again.
And whatever happens, it's going to be a wild old ride watching this one play out.
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