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Jason Lemkin

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
13791 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: OpenAI & SpaceX S1 Drops | NVIDIA's $81BN Revenue Quarter | Cloudlfare and ClickUp Do Controversial Layoffs | Exa, OpenRouter and Polsia Raise Mega Rounds | Uber and Microsoft Declare AI ROI for Developers is Questionable

The demand is there, but the premium may not be able to be maintained.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: OpenAI & SpaceX S1 Drops | NVIDIA's $81BN Revenue Quarter | Cloudlfare and ClickUp Do Controversial Layoffs | Exa, OpenRouter and Polsia Raise Mega Rounds | Uber and Microsoft Declare AI ROI for Developers is Questionable

The demand is there, but the premium may not be able to be maintained.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: OpenAI & SpaceX S1 Drops | NVIDIA's $81BN Revenue Quarter | Cloudlfare and ClickUp Do Controversial Layoffs | Exa, OpenRouter and Polsia Raise Mega Rounds | Uber and Microsoft Declare AI ROI for Developers is Questionable

Listen, the Uber CEO complaining and the Microsoft stuff, like I can take some pot shots at it, but also I just think it's showing you the future.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: OpenAI & SpaceX S1 Drops | NVIDIA's $81BN Revenue Quarter | Cloudlfare and ClickUp Do Controversial Layoffs | Exa, OpenRouter and Polsia Raise Mega Rounds | Uber and Microsoft Declare AI ROI for Developers is Questionable

Listen, the Uber CEO complaining and the Microsoft stuff, like I can take some pot shots at it, but also I just think it's showing you the future.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: OpenAI & SpaceX S1 Drops | NVIDIA's $81BN Revenue Quarter | Cloudlfare and ClickUp Do Controversial Layoffs | Exa, OpenRouter and Polsia Raise Mega Rounds | Uber and Microsoft Declare AI ROI for Developers is Questionable

More folks are going to come out and say the same by definition, right?

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: OpenAI & SpaceX S1 Drops | NVIDIA's $81BN Revenue Quarter | Cloudlfare and ClickUp Do Controversial Layoffs | Exa, OpenRouter and Polsia Raise Mega Rounds | Uber and Microsoft Declare AI ROI for Developers is Questionable

More folks are going to come out and say the same by definition, right?

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: OpenAI & SpaceX S1 Drops | NVIDIA's $81BN Revenue Quarter | Cloudlfare and ClickUp Do Controversial Layoffs | Exa, OpenRouter and Polsia Raise Mega Rounds | Uber and Microsoft Declare AI ROI for Developers is Questionable

Going to happen.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: OpenAI & SpaceX S1 Drops | NVIDIA's $81BN Revenue Quarter | Cloudlfare and ClickUp Do Controversial Layoffs | Exa, OpenRouter and Polsia Raise Mega Rounds | Uber and Microsoft Declare AI ROI for Developers is Questionable

Going to happen.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: OpenAI & SpaceX S1 Drops | NVIDIA's $81BN Revenue Quarter | Cloudlfare and ClickUp Do Controversial Layoffs | Exa, OpenRouter and Polsia Raise Mega Rounds | Uber and Microsoft Declare AI ROI for Developers is Questionable

So the bear case is just as that happens, it might seem like the reaction is no more AI guys.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: OpenAI & SpaceX S1 Drops | NVIDIA's $81BN Revenue Quarter | Cloudlfare and ClickUp Do Controversial Layoffs | Exa, OpenRouter and Polsia Raise Mega Rounds | Uber and Microsoft Declare AI ROI for Developers is Questionable

So the bear case is just as that happens, it might seem like the reaction is no more AI guys.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: OpenAI & SpaceX S1 Drops | NVIDIA's $81BN Revenue Quarter | Cloudlfare and ClickUp Do Controversial Layoffs | Exa, OpenRouter and Polsia Raise Mega Rounds | Uber and Microsoft Declare AI ROI for Developers is Questionable

Go back to pulling up your old ID and coding by hand.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: OpenAI & SpaceX S1 Drops | NVIDIA's $81BN Revenue Quarter | Cloudlfare and ClickUp Do Controversial Layoffs | Exa, OpenRouter and Polsia Raise Mega Rounds | Uber and Microsoft Declare AI ROI for Developers is Questionable

Go back to pulling up your old ID and coding by hand.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: OpenAI & SpaceX S1 Drops | NVIDIA's $81BN Revenue Quarter | Cloudlfare and ClickUp Do Controversial Layoffs | Exa, OpenRouter and Polsia Raise Mega Rounds | Uber and Microsoft Declare AI ROI for Developers is Questionable

But more likely is we will just get better at token budgets.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: OpenAI & SpaceX S1 Drops | NVIDIA's $81BN Revenue Quarter | Cloudlfare and ClickUp Do Controversial Layoffs | Exa, OpenRouter and Polsia Raise Mega Rounds | Uber and Microsoft Declare AI ROI for Developers is Questionable

But more likely is we will just get better at token budgets.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: OpenAI & SpaceX S1 Drops | NVIDIA's $81BN Revenue Quarter | Cloudlfare and ClickUp Do Controversial Layoffs | Exa, OpenRouter and Polsia Raise Mega Rounds | Uber and Microsoft Declare AI ROI for Developers is Questionable

And as folks struggle to manage it themselves, that may degrade pricing power for Anthropic as folks just, you know, like, you know, I'm just going to use a combination of GPT-4, it's older, and some Sonnet and some DeepSeq, because that's the way I'm going to spend my budget, right?

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: OpenAI & SpaceX S1 Drops | NVIDIA's $81BN Revenue Quarter | Cloudlfare and ClickUp Do Controversial Layoffs | Exa, OpenRouter and Polsia Raise Mega Rounds | Uber and Microsoft Declare AI ROI for Developers is Questionable

And as folks struggle to manage it themselves, that may degrade pricing power for Anthropic as folks just, you know, like, you know, I'm just going to use a combination of GPT-4, it's older, and some Sonnet and some DeepSeq, because that's the way I'm going to spend my budget, right?

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: OpenAI & SpaceX S1 Drops | NVIDIA's $81BN Revenue Quarter | Cloudlfare and ClickUp Do Controversial Layoffs | Exa, OpenRouter and Polsia Raise Mega Rounds | Uber and Microsoft Declare AI ROI for Developers is Questionable

It's just a bear case, that's all.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: OpenAI & SpaceX S1 Drops | NVIDIA's $81BN Revenue Quarter | Cloudlfare and ClickUp Do Controversial Layoffs | Exa, OpenRouter and Polsia Raise Mega Rounds | Uber and Microsoft Declare AI ROI for Developers is Questionable

It's just a bear case, that's all.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: OpenAI & SpaceX S1 Drops | NVIDIA's $81BN Revenue Quarter | Cloudlfare and ClickUp Do Controversial Layoffs | Exa, OpenRouter and Polsia Raise Mega Rounds | Uber and Microsoft Declare AI ROI for Developers is Questionable

That's the dumbest thing I've ever seen on Twitter, is that this is overhiring during COVID.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: OpenAI & SpaceX S1 Drops | NVIDIA's $81BN Revenue Quarter | Cloudlfare and ClickUp Do Controversial Layoffs | Exa, OpenRouter and Polsia Raise Mega Rounds | Uber and Microsoft Declare AI ROI for Developers is Questionable

That's the dumbest thing I've ever seen on Twitter, is that this is overhiring during COVID.