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Jason Lemkin

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
3697 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Anthropic's $10BN Fundraise: Have They Beaten Cursor Already | a16z's $15BN Fundraise: Is the Middle Dead in VC Today? | How OpenAI Could Go to Zero and ElevenLabs at $11BN: Buy or Not?

And in the late stage, you're taking 100% correlated valuation risk.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Anthropic's $10BN Fundraise: Have They Beaten Cursor Already | a16z's $15BN Fundraise: Is the Middle Dead in VC Today? | How OpenAI Could Go to Zero and ElevenLabs at $11BN: Buy or Not?

If the growth is there for one more year, it looks cheap.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Anthropic's $10BN Fundraise: Have They Beaten Cursor Already | a16z's $15BN Fundraise: Is the Middle Dead in VC Today? | How OpenAI Could Go to Zero and ElevenLabs at $11BN: Buy or Not?

I would be nervous if I was a $27 billion pre-cursor investor.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Anthropic's $10BN Fundraise: Have They Beaten Cursor Already | a16z's $15BN Fundraise: Is the Middle Dead in VC Today? | How OpenAI Could Go to Zero and ElevenLabs at $11BN: Buy or Not?

They've won and they've won really well.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Anthropic's $10BN Fundraise: Have They Beaten Cursor Already | a16z's $15BN Fundraise: Is the Middle Dead in VC Today? | How OpenAI Could Go to Zero and ElevenLabs at $11BN: Buy or Not?

You can be promiscuous at the A if you have enough late stage stuff to cover it up.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Anthropic's $10BN Fundraise: Have They Beaten Cursor Already | a16z's $15BN Fundraise: Is the Middle Dead in VC Today? | How OpenAI Could Go to Zero and ElevenLabs at $11BN: Buy or Not?

Probably yes on the first question.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Anthropic's $10BN Fundraise: Have They Beaten Cursor Already | a16z's $15BN Fundraise: Is the Middle Dead in VC Today? | How OpenAI Could Go to Zero and ElevenLabs at $11BN: Buy or Not?

because they've stated they want to, and it feels like they can.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Anthropic's $10BN Fundraise: Have They Beaten Cursor Already | a16z's $15BN Fundraise: Is the Middle Dead in VC Today? | How OpenAI Could Go to Zero and ElevenLabs at $11BN: Buy or Not?

And if someone says they want to do something and it feels like, and that thing is doable, then logically it should get done.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Anthropic's $10BN Fundraise: Have They Beaten Cursor Already | a16z's $15BN Fundraise: Is the Middle Dead in VC Today? | How OpenAI Could Go to Zero and ElevenLabs at $11BN: Buy or Not?

So yeah, I think it probably would be the last one before the IPO.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Anthropic's $10BN Fundraise: Have They Beaten Cursor Already | a16z's $15BN Fundraise: Is the Middle Dead in VC Today? | How OpenAI Could Go to Zero and ElevenLabs at $11BN: Buy or Not?

And you know, how do you pay with the price?

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Anthropic's $10BN Fundraise: Have They Beaten Cursor Already | a16z's $15BN Fundraise: Is the Middle Dead in VC Today? | How OpenAI Could Go to Zero and ElevenLabs at $11BN: Buy or Not?

Look, when they raised at 160, I mean, I remember internalizing, we talked about it.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Anthropic's $10BN Fundraise: Have They Beaten Cursor Already | a16z's $15BN Fundraise: Is the Middle Dead in VC Today? | How OpenAI Could Go to Zero and ElevenLabs at $11BN: Buy or Not?

And frankly, we talked about it in our partnership.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Anthropic's $10BN Fundraise: Have They Beaten Cursor Already | a16z's $15BN Fundraise: Is the Middle Dead in VC Today? | How OpenAI Could Go to Zero and ElevenLabs at $11BN: Buy or Not?

You kind of go big number, wow, that's the second or third largest private cap valuation ever.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Anthropic's $10BN Fundraise: Have They Beaten Cursor Already | a16z's $15BN Fundraise: Is the Middle Dead in VC Today? | How OpenAI Could Go to Zero and ElevenLabs at $11BN: Buy or Not?

And then you look at the market traction and the revenue traction and you go on a revenue multiple basis, it's cheaper than some of the stuff we're doing at 200 and 100 pre.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Anthropic's $10BN Fundraise: Have They Beaten Cursor Already | a16z's $15BN Fundraise: Is the Middle Dead in VC Today? | How OpenAI Could Go to Zero and ElevenLabs at $11BN: Buy or Not?

Because this is a company that's gone from... It's easy to remember the numbers for Anthropic because they very kindly did them in round units of 10.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Anthropic's $10BN Fundraise: Have They Beaten Cursor Already | a16z's $15BN Fundraise: Is the Middle Dead in VC Today? | How OpenAI Could Go to Zero and ElevenLabs at $11BN: Buy or Not?

They went from 100 million at the end of 23 run rate to a billion at the end of 24 run rate to allegedly about between 9 and 10 billion at the end of 25.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Anthropic's $10BN Fundraise: Have They Beaten Cursor Already | a16z's $15BN Fundraise: Is the Middle Dead in VC Today? | How OpenAI Could Go to Zero and ElevenLabs at $11BN: Buy or Not?

So let's assume those numbers are roughly correct.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Anthropic's $10BN Fundraise: Have They Beaten Cursor Already | a16z's $15BN Fundraise: Is the Middle Dead in VC Today? | How OpenAI Could Go to Zero and ElevenLabs at $11BN: Buy or Not?

They 10x-ed two years in a row.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Anthropic's $10BN Fundraise: Have They Beaten Cursor Already | a16z's $15BN Fundraise: Is the Middle Dead in VC Today? | How OpenAI Could Go to Zero and ElevenLabs at $11BN: Buy or Not?

I don't know.

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
20VC: Anthropic's $10BN Fundraise: Have They Beaten Cursor Already | a16z's $15BN Fundraise: Is the Middle Dead in VC Today? | How OpenAI Could Go to Zero and ElevenLabs at $11BN: Buy or Not?

Next year, let's just say they only, quote, only 3x.