Jessica Menton

speaker
431 appearances 12 recordings 1 series first heard Nov 2018 last heard Apr 2019

Jessica Menton’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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Appearances

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It's just the fact that there's still a lot of uncertainty out there. voice-verified
Thanks for having me. voice-verified
Absolutely, it has. voice-verified
And it's been quite a wild final quarter of the year, especially just in December. voice-verified
All the major averages are off to their worst December since 1980, to put that into some perspective. voice-verified
So stocks really need some sort of voice-verified
santa claus rally to avoid their first annual decline since 2015 and when people talk about the santa claus rally a lot of times people think oh it's during the holidays it's the month of december it's actually specifically a span of seven trading days so that's the last five trading days of this year and the first two in the new year so it's more condensed than people sometimes think voice-verified
Absolutely. voice-verified
So it's a very historical tendencies for these, especially for the S&P 500. voice-verified
It does tend to perform very well over that seven-day trading span. voice-verified
But there are a little... voice-verified
a little bit of a different year and i've talked to a lot of different portfolio managers some analysts and economists just asking them will this year not follow that script compared to other years and there's just a lot of different things hanging over the markets right now there's different trade tensions we have slumping commodity prices and we're also in a higher rate environment which really sets the stage for the federal reserve on wednesday following their meeting because a lot of investors really want a clearer picture on their rate outlook going forward voice-verified
in 2019 and the years after. voice-verified
It's possible. voice-verified
And the reason I say that is because with the different trade tensions that have been going on, if you look at the S&P 500 and the multinationals that have exposure overseas, which tends to be a lot of tech companies, when the dollar is higher, that weighs on their revenues overseas. voice-verified
So voice-verified
There's certain dynamics that economists are explaining. voice-verified
If there's a dovish Fed, that could put downward pressure on the dollar, which would potentially help large cap companies, especially those multinationals. voice-verified
The Santa Claus rally typically works like this. voice-verified
In the first part of the month, there tends to be tax loss selling that dominates trading, which makes the first half of the month typically weaker. voice-verified
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