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Joe Lonsdale

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
See mentions of this person in podcasts
3721 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Shawn Ryan Show
#302 Joe Lonsdale - If China Takes Taiwan, AI Sets Back 10 Years

So he could see that going on for at least another couple of years.

The Shawn Ryan Show
#302 Joe Lonsdale - If China Takes Taiwan, AI Sets Back 10 Years

He's right.

The Shawn Ryan Show
#302 Joe Lonsdale - If China Takes Taiwan, AI Sets Back 10 Years

That's going to be very, very impressive in three years, but it's still not, it would still probably take until sometime in the next decade or two to do some of these other things, replacing people.

The Shawn Ryan Show
#302 Joe Lonsdale - If China Takes Taiwan, AI Sets Back 10 Years

The question is, is it going to keep getting better or not?

The Shawn Ryan Show
#302 Joe Lonsdale - If China Takes Taiwan, AI Sets Back 10 Years

And it's a fascinating situation.

The Shawn Ryan Show
#302 Joe Lonsdale - If China Takes Taiwan, AI Sets Back 10 Years

It's looking likely.

The Shawn Ryan Show
#302 Joe Lonsdale - If China Takes Taiwan, AI Sets Back 10 Years

You know, it's, I tend to think the universe works in asymptotes and not in exponentials.

The Shawn Ryan Show
#302 Joe Lonsdale - If China Takes Taiwan, AI Sets Back 10 Years

Like the idea of a singularity, Sean, is that the thing like starts getting better and better and then improves itself faster and faster and then just infinitely shoots upward and like the whole, everything changes and you've basically have a God that you've created.

The Shawn Ryan Show
#302 Joe Lonsdale - If China Takes Taiwan, AI Sets Back 10 Years

Like that's like a secular person's, you know, religious view from the tech world that we're just gonna change everything with a singularity.

The Shawn Ryan Show
#302 Joe Lonsdale - If China Takes Taiwan, AI Sets Back 10 Years

And I think you have these explosions that like hit natural limits and then go over.

The Shawn Ryan Show
#302 Joe Lonsdale - If China Takes Taiwan, AI Sets Back 10 Years

And so my view,

The Shawn Ryan Show
#302 Joe Lonsdale - If China Takes Taiwan, AI Sets Back 10 Years

for everything every other phenomenon i've ever studied it's it's it's that these things don't just go exponential forever there's there's limits to the universe and how these things work uh so so maybe maybe it doesn't go exponential i don't know that i i think it probably doesn't but some people think it probably does that's a really big question for us for 10 20 years from now right on right on let's talk about some of these companies that uh 8vc is investing yeah what do you want to hear about i i i picked a handful here first one i want to talk about is overland ai i love it i've been uh

The Shawn Ryan Show
#302 Joe Lonsdale - If China Takes Taiwan, AI Sets Back 10 Years

Byron is an impressive man.

The Shawn Ryan Show
#302 Joe Lonsdale - If China Takes Taiwan, AI Sets Back 10 Years

He's a professor out west, and he's won the National DARPA Contest a bunch of times of how you navigate over kind of random terrain, right?

The Shawn Ryan Show
#302 Joe Lonsdale - If China Takes Taiwan, AI Sets Back 10 Years

So this is very different than a self-driving car.

The Shawn Ryan Show
#302 Joe Lonsdale - If China Takes Taiwan, AI Sets Back 10 Years

The problem Elon and Google and those guys are solving is driving on roads with...

The Shawn Ryan Show
#302 Joe Lonsdale - If China Takes Taiwan, AI Sets Back 10 Years

people and bikes, and it's a hard problem, right?

The Shawn Ryan Show
#302 Joe Lonsdale - If China Takes Taiwan, AI Sets Back 10 Years

There's a really hard problem, obviously.

The Shawn Ryan Show
#302 Joe Lonsdale - If China Takes Taiwan, AI Sets Back 10 Years

The problem he's solving is like over kind of like random 3D terrain, like in a forest.

The Shawn Ryan Show
#302 Joe Lonsdale - If China Takes Taiwan, AI Sets Back 10 Years

Like if you're gonna launch an attack, if you're gonna defend this, you know, if someone had to drive something out back over, you know, out behind here where you're shooting, it's like, that's a different sort of self-driving problem.