John Gibbons

speaker
873 appearances 6 recordings 1 series first heard Jul 2026 last heard 10 Sep

John Gibbons’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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recordings per month · last 12 months
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Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 6 in all, peaking in Sep 2026 with 2.

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But underlying this, this huge scale El Nino is likely to deliver here in Ireland um certainly effects we will feel a warmer, wetter probably winter, and possibly a stormier winter.
Storminess again is very difficult to do.
But we're not gonna get sort of
happens.
It's highly unlikely.
Highly unlikely.
Again, there's so much variability.
I heard uh an analyst use a wonderful analogy when he was talking about weather variability uh the other day, and he said he said trying to describe exactly where these things are hit is like getting a a pan, a pop a pan full of of popping corn and trying to guess which one will pop first, right?
It is there's a huge amount of system variability.
So you're
Corn could pop right here in Ireland, it could pop in the UK, it could pop somewhere else.
So that there's still the weather variability, Matt, but what it's riding in on here is this hugely increased heat.
And to to give your listeners a sense of how much we're talking about, we see, for example, in the El Nino region, ocean surface temperatures are four degrees or heading for four degrees above normal.
Now for the ocean.
Does that include the Atlantic?
No, this is in the in the Pacific.
Pacific.
This isn't this is isn't relating to the Atlantic.
So this is the where this system arises is in the uh in the eastern Pacific.
And so four degrees centigrade is the projection.
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