John Heilman

If you're just putting this out only through the construct of I represent the House Democrats and this is good for the Democrats taking over the House, it's a fine press release to put out.

But there's just not a ton of sign in the numbers right now that we're seeing as the bottom falls out from Trump that we're seeing people in red areas saying, OK, it's so bad I'm going to take a chance on the Democrats.

So there's plenty of time.

It's only April.

But I just I do think, you know, I'm hearing a little bit more bullishness on the Senate than I think the data indicates at this point.

Winning the Senate.

Winning the Senate is the bar.

Right.

And honestly, probably winning 52 Senate seats to protect yourself from John Fetterman switching parties.

That's the bar, I would say.

An Independence Day type situation, like Bill Pullman.

I take your polling caveat, but I'm just going to throw one little piece of candy at you because you just, why not?

Why not do it?

Do it.

We're 50 minutes in.

Two polls out of Texas this week.

Yeah.

UT poll has Tallarico 42, Paxton 34, and that's a ton undecided.

So Texas public opinion research poll is more interested in Tallarico 46, Paxton 41, Tallarico 44, Cornyn 41.

Now, the one way to look at that is I don't know that Beto was ever up by five, even in the good campaign, maybe one poll.