John Mearsheimer
speaker
13 appearances
1 recordings
1 series
first heard Jul 2026
last heard 20 Jul
John Mearsheimer’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Jul 2026 with 1.
Appearances
There were about 20 million barrels per day coming out of the Gulf on February 27th.
You know, when people talk about 20% of the world's oil came out of the Gulf, that 20% represents about 20 million barrels.
And since the war started, we've devolved to a situation where 7 million barrels are still coming out of Saudi Arabia and the UAE combined.
So it's only, in my opinion, about 13 million barrels that have been bottled up in the Gulf.
Now, where are those 7 million barrels coming out of?
One is
that Saudi Arabia is sending probably somewhere on the order of 5 million barrels out through the Red Sea, not through the Strait of Hormuz.
And I would guess that the UAE is sending out close to 2 million barrels from Fujairah, which is a UAE port on the Gulf of Oman.
In other words, it's outside of the Strait of Hormuz.
So you have this roughly 7 million barrels of oil
7 million out of the original 20 million that are still coming out of the Persian Gulf.
I think the Iranians have a vested interest in shutting down the flow of oil through the Red Sea, that's the Saudi Arabian oil, and shutting down Fujairah.
And there's some evidence they've already shut down Fujairah.
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