John Oehser

It's probably good for this team.

They're underdogs.

As I wrote in the Ozone a couple times, I've never seen a point spread score a touchdown.

I've never seen it win a game.

Once the game's over, do you ever really remember maybe the Denver game when they were 13-point underdogs back in 96?

I can't remember what the spread was in any game this year.

But leading up to it, sure, it's fine.

Well, I think what happens a lot of times in this situation, the playoff experience becomes a really crucial early week storyline.

And then a lot of times you get to the game and realize, oh, this is the playoffs and whoever's better is going to play better.

Happened in 96 a couple times, right?

And look, you talk so much about playoff games that sometimes you forget you actually got to play them.

And the point I'm getting to is in this game, the Jaguars, if you took the uniforms and the history off,

you would look at the Jaguars and say, well, they're clearly the favorites.

I mean, they're coming in there as the number one run defense, second in takeaways, maybe the best quarterback in the NFL over the last two months, a team that's scoring this kind.

If it wasn't for the fact that Bills had been there so often, the Jaguars would be an overwhelming favorite, I think, based on how they're playing.

But because Josh Allen plays in this game –

They deserve to be in that, you know, it deserves to be a tight spread.

I think, too, you know...

The key to me in the first half of this game, can the Jaguars limit Cook without having 11 guys on Cook, meaning within the scope of how they usually play defense, can they stop Cook because they're a good run defense without overemphasizing stopping him?

If you overemphasize stopping him, then Josh Allen's running all over the place.