Menu
Sign In Search Podcasts Libraries Charts People & Topics Add Podcast API Blog Pricing

Josh Brown

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
4403 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Compound and Friends
SpaceX IPO With Rupert Mitchell, Consumer Discretionary Is Not an Econ Signal, Halo ETF Launches

And we were talking before we went live.

The Compound and Friends
SpaceX IPO With Rupert Mitchell, Consumer Discretionary Is Not an Econ Signal, Halo ETF Launches

You were saying...

The Compound and Friends
SpaceX IPO With Rupert Mitchell, Consumer Discretionary Is Not an Econ Signal, Halo ETF Launches

Of the millions of deals that you've seen in your career, 5% to retail is considered risky or high.

The Compound and Friends
SpaceX IPO With Rupert Mitchell, Consumer Discretionary Is Not an Econ Signal, Halo ETF Launches

Yeah, that's not great.

The Compound and Friends
SpaceX IPO With Rupert Mitchell, Consumer Discretionary Is Not an Econ Signal, Halo ETF Launches

Yeah.

The Compound and Friends
SpaceX IPO With Rupert Mitchell, Consumer Discretionary Is Not an Econ Signal, Halo ETF Launches

Opened at 40, ended up at, I don't know, 18.

The Compound and Friends
SpaceX IPO With Rupert Mitchell, Consumer Discretionary Is Not an Econ Signal, Halo ETF Launches

It's a handoff.

The Compound and Friends
SpaceX IPO With Rupert Mitchell, Consumer Discretionary Is Not an Econ Signal, Halo ETF Launches

So if BlackRock, State Street, Invesco, the big index ETF houses, they have to wait.

The Compound and Friends
SpaceX IPO With Rupert Mitchell, Consumer Discretionary Is Not an Econ Signal, Halo ETF Launches

It's 10 days.

The Compound and Friends
SpaceX IPO With Rupert Mitchell, Consumer Discretionary Is Not an Econ Signal, Halo ETF Launches

Okay, so the hedge funds are going to be the bridge from the IPO date until the index providers and all of the active funds that are mimicking the index de facto can come in and buy.

The Compound and Friends
SpaceX IPO With Rupert Mitchell, Consumer Discretionary Is Not an Econ Signal, Halo ETF Launches

So you have this two-week period where it's almost like,

The Compound and Friends
SpaceX IPO With Rupert Mitchell, Consumer Discretionary Is Not an Econ Signal, Halo ETF Launches

Well, who else is left to buy it?

The Compound and Friends
SpaceX IPO With Rupert Mitchell, Consumer Discretionary Is Not an Econ Signal, Halo ETF Launches

It's not $5 trillion in demand for a $2 trillion IPO.

The Compound and Friends
SpaceX IPO With Rupert Mitchell, Consumer Discretionary Is Not an Econ Signal, Halo ETF Launches

It's impossible.

The Compound and Friends
SpaceX IPO With Rupert Mitchell, Consumer Discretionary Is Not an Econ Signal, Halo ETF Launches

It's not a six-month lockup, which is what investors are accustomed to.

The Compound and Friends
SpaceX IPO With Rupert Mitchell, Consumer Discretionary Is Not an Econ Signal, Halo ETF Launches

I want to do one of your charts real quick.

The Compound and Friends
SpaceX IPO With Rupert Mitchell, Consumer Discretionary Is Not an Econ Signal, Halo ETF Launches

To the first point you made, all of the people that we're going to hear from are super long from a super low price.

The Compound and Friends
SpaceX IPO With Rupert Mitchell, Consumer Discretionary Is Not an Econ Signal, Halo ETF Launches

Put this SpaceX stock chart up.

The Compound and Friends
SpaceX IPO With Rupert Mitchell, Consumer Discretionary Is Not an Econ Signal, Halo ETF Launches

So with the caveat that obviously this is privately held, but it's...

The Compound and Friends
SpaceX IPO With Rupert Mitchell, Consumer Discretionary Is Not an Econ Signal, Halo ETF Launches

I mean, this is the perspective.