Jules van Binsbergen

speaker

478 appearances 6 recordings 1 series first heard Jun 2026 last heard 13 Aug

Jules van Binsbergen’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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recordings per month · last 12 months

Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 6 in all, peaking in Jul 2026 with 3.

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All Else Equal: Making Better Decisions · Rerun: Ep68 “Is It Better to Overestimate or Underestimate Your Enemies?” with H.R. McMaster · 1 Jul 2026 podcast

So sorry, I was confusing.

I didn't in any way mean to suggest that Russia wasn't the one started it.

What I more mean is the option for Europe and the US to directly declare war with Russia has always been on the table, but that card is not played.

Rather, the strategy is to support Ukraine as best as they can in the effort without directly declaring war themselves.

Maybe I'm calling something proxy war that isn't the right definition for proxy war.

But it's still the case that you're using another intermediate player that's sort of in the middle because you're unwilling yourself to directly declare conflict.

So with respect to the demographic time bomb, that, of course, is also going to play itself out economically very interestingly, right?

Because there are 1.4 billion people right now.

By the end of the century, I think they're expected to have about 650 million people left, according to the UN.

So that's more than a cutting in half.

In terms of young people, in the 1970s, there were 600 million Chinese young people between zero and 24 years old.

By the end of the century, the projection is 100 million young people left.

It's an absolute dramatic shift.

On the other hand, if we think about India, you see quite the opposite trend in the sense that it's just surpassed China in terms of its population.

And it's not expected to slow down anytime soon.

By the end of the century, it still will be at 1.4 billion.

What are the strategic considerations also militarily and economically with respect to India?

Are people looking at that?

Because that long-term trend seems very important to me.

Well, so there's another thing that you're bringing up that I think is really important, which is that all the physical parts of war are always accompanied by information wars as well.

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