Julian Borger

We're talking about maybe 3,000 to 6,000 people killed, many more injured.

The estimates of the damage done, 200 to 300 billion.

But also don't forget the Lebanese.

The Lebanese have suffered as many casualties in what

People see this as a sort of sideshow to the Iran war.

But of course, it is part of the war.

And the Lebanese have lost similar number of people and seen villages across the south flattened and much of their territory now occupied.

So the damage and the suffering has been spread over the regions.

Well, if you listen to the Iranians, it is very contingent.

They've said it's an integral part of it.

Also, Pakistan's Prime Minister, Shabazz Sharif, also said that this is also about Lebanon.

So this is another vulnerability in the deal because we've heard from the Israelis already, as you said, that they have no intention of going anywhere.

They're going to stay there.

You could imagine there'll be further clashes with Hezbollah there.

And so this is a big weakness that there is a third player here, Israel, that has various motives.

One is security.

The other political from the point of view of Benjamin Netanyahu.

He's come out to elections, has not really much to show for it in terms of security.

So he is very much a wild card now when it comes to this ceasefire, this disagreement holding.

They are going to be very difficult talks in a short timeline because these issues about Iran's right to enrich uranium, what happens to its sizable stockpile of highly enriched uranium.