Justin Lahart

speaker
1,185 appearances 22 recordings 1 series first heard Jul 2017 last heard Dec 2024

Justin Lahart’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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Appearances

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We're not going to say yield curve anymore after this, but when that happens, that is often a signal of an upcoming recession. voice-verified
Right. voice-verified
And people also at that time, people said, oh, there's no signal here. voice-verified
It's different this time. voice-verified
They said that. voice-verified
It's different this time. voice-verified
There's not going to be a recession. voice-verified
Well, it started to invert in 2006 and it was still inverted in 2007. voice-verified
And then a recession happened. voice-verified
So, again, it seemed like it was right. voice-verified
And it was also we saw the same thing happen in 2000. voice-verified
So, again, this time, if it happens, people will say, well, this time is different. voice-verified
Yeah. voice-verified
And you can understand why. voice-verified
They can say, well, hey, central banks bought a ton of bonds. voice-verified
Some central banks are still buying bonds. voice-verified
The Fed still has a huge balance sheet of all these bonds that it bought in response to the financial crisis. voice-verified
And that is affecting long-term rates and pushing them lower than where they would be otherwise. voice-verified
So therefore, it won't really count. voice-verified
Okay. voice-verified
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