Justin Lahart
speaker
1,185 appearances
22 recordings
1 series
first heard Jul 2017
last heard Dec 2024
Justin Lahart’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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Appearances
And they want to see the next one, right?
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Even if they don't like the movie that much, they'll still go to that.
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They'll still go.
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Yeah, absolutely.
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Thank you.
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Sure.
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If you think about, you know, where we are right now compared to, you know, let's say where the Fed was in September, right?
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Back in September, we didn't know that we were going to get the tax cut and we didn't know about this huge increase in government spending that we're going to get, right?
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Now the Fed knows that.
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But if you look at the difference between their forecast from September and their forecasts now, you know, there is an increase in GDP growth, but maybe not as much as you would expect given how much money is crashing into the economy.
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Yeah, it seems like a big jump.
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But again, considering how much money is coming into the economy, it is not that big a jump.
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So one calculation that Robert Barbera from Johns Hopkins University did
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His suggestion, what he saw was the multiplier on the stimulus for this year seems to be about 0.45.
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So let me explain what a multiplier is.
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So the multiplier is basically how much bang for the buck you get from a fiscal package, from a tax cut, from anything like that.
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And if it's 45, that means that for every dollar you put in the economy, you get 45 cents worth of growth.
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That's not very much.
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And then Bob also looked at his 2019 projections, and that suggests that it's about 0.2, so 20 cents on the buck.
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Again, not very much.
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Showing 741–760 of 1,185 · page 38 of 60
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