Justin Lehart
speaker
12 appearances
1 recordings
1 series
first heard Jul 2026
last heard 14 Jul
Justin Lehart’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Jul 2026 with 1.
Appearances
A recent analysis by noted demographer Stephen Ruggles finds the U.S.
labor force is slowing sharply.
and will soon shrink outright.
Over the decade ending 2030, it grows by just 9.1 million people, the smallest gain since the 1950s.
The following decade, it contracts by 2.1 million.
Ruggles expects that scarcity of labor to push up wages for young workers, draw more people into the labor force...
and strengthen organized labor's bargaining power.
A smaller workforce also needs to support more retirees.
That's the productivity gap AI could fill.
Research from economists finds labor scarcity historically drives higher GDP per worker and higher wages, partly by spurring investment in labor-saving tech.
The open question, will AI's gains be enough and come soon enough to offset the demographic shift?
Or will AI's productivity gains be so large that companies cut jobs anyway?
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