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Justin Wolfers

👤 Speaker
1470 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Prof G Markets
$1T Moved on Iran “Talks” — Did They Even Happen?

In some sense, what's already priced in.

Prof G Markets
$1T Moved on Iran “Talks” — Did They Even Happen?

Yeah.

Prof G Markets
$1T Moved on Iran “Talks” — Did They Even Happen?

Ed, I'm not teaching this semester.

Prof G Markets
$1T Moved on Iran “Talks” — Did They Even Happen?

Sorry about that.

Prof G Markets
$1T Moved on Iran “Talks” — Did They Even Happen?

Fair enough.

Prof G Markets
$1T Moved on Iran “Talks” — Did They Even Happen?

I am talking to a lot of people.

Prof G Markets
$1T Moved on Iran “Talks” — Did They Even Happen?

So let me give you a couple of very quick answers.

Prof G Markets
$1T Moved on Iran “Talks” — Did They Even Happen?

The first is the orders of magnitude involved with war are very, very large.

Prof G Markets
$1T Moved on Iran “Talks” — Did They Even Happen?

Second is what I think of as being the most important macroeconomic skill, which is being able to keep track of orders of magnitude.

Prof G Markets
$1T Moved on Iran “Talks” — Did They Even Happen?

To give an example, I was interviewed a bunch of times a week ago just after it came out that the Pentagon had said that the first week of the war cost $11 billion.

Prof G Markets
$1T Moved on Iran “Talks” — Did They Even Happen?

And commentators were like, oh, my God, $11 billion.

Prof G Markets
$1T Moved on Iran “Talks” — Did They Even Happen?

This is outrageous.

Prof G Markets
$1T Moved on Iran “Talks” — Did They Even Happen?

It's terrible.

Prof G Markets
$1T Moved on Iran “Talks” — Did They Even Happen?

It's too much.

Prof G Markets
$1T Moved on Iran “Talks” — Did They Even Happen?

And I'm like...

Prof G Markets
$1T Moved on Iran “Talks” — Did They Even Happen?

You know, actually, $11 billion is not that much.

Prof G Markets
$1T Moved on Iran “Talks” — Did They Even Happen?

$11 billion is, well, if there's 100 million households, you can do this for me, Ed.

Prof G Markets
$1T Moved on Iran “Talks” — Did They Even Happen?

Come on.

Prof G Markets
$1T Moved on Iran “Talks” — Did They Even Happen?

Don't put me in his position.

Prof G Markets
$1T Moved on Iran “Talks” — Did They Even Happen?

It's $100 per household.