Kate Warren
speaker
49 appearances
1 recordings
1 series
first heard Oct 2018
last heard Oct 2018
Kate Warren’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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Appearances
And in this quarter's earnings, we're hearing more companies talk about how their costs have gone up as a result of tariffs.
or it's directly higher prices at the store.
And consumers do need to be aware of the fact that we'll see some prices rise.
That's not terrible news, but it's something to prepare for as we're all seeing a little bit higher prices.
And I think that's a risk for long-term investors because a little bit higher inflation means you need to be sure you're prepared with rising income over time.
Well, certainly it's not a surprise that the Federal Reserve is raising short-term interest rates since they were kept at zero for such a long time and everyone was concerned about that.
I think, though, that whenever we see rates increase, it leads investors to start reassessing the future.
And that's really part of what's happening with this volatility as well.
So short-term interest rates, we do expect to continue to rise slowly over time as the Fed tries to just get policy back into a more normal range.
The surprise this time has been that long term interest rates, which are really tied to auto loans and mortgage rates, haven't risen as much as short term interest rates.
They have picked up some, and that's part of the reason we've seen the higher volatility here in October.
That's likely to continue as well, although we don't see a sharp increase in either short term or long term interest rates.
That's correct.
And I think many investors and certainly many voters think about the midterm elections as something that could make a huge difference either in their portfolios or in the direction of the country.
That may be correct, but it turns out that the stock market has risen under all political combinations in Washington and the economy has grown under all political combinations.
Now, there are differences, so don't take this as some comment that says elections don't matter.
They actually matter a lot.
But as your investment portfolio grows over time, it's going to do okay regardless of what happens.
It may just be a little faster or a little slower.
What we think in particular is if you're invested, you need to stay invested because it turns out that midterm election years tend to have pretty good market returns in November and December, better than average in all years.
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