Kelvin Davidson

speaker
1,120 appearances 10 recordings 2 series first heard Jan 2026 last heard 10 Aug

Kelvin Davidson’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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recordings per month · last 12 months
3 · Mar OctJan 26AprJulnow

Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 10 in all, peaking in Mar 2026 with 3.

Appearances

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for this year, maybe even into next year.
So yeah, it's hard to disagree with that.
So yeah, pretty cautious sort of statement all round, I guess.
No, no, that's it, as I say, but for everyone.
So, you know, if you're, depending on which camp you're in, you could probably find something for you in this statement.
So pretty balanced.
So that's a much more encouraging sign.
Still a bit of caution, as I say, but it does start to look a little bit better.
Yeah, I suppose when you look across some of the recent indicators, maybe the last week, it does tend to look a bit more positive.
I think there's still reasons for caution.
We had that rise in the unemployment rate a couple of weeks back, for example.
So there's still a wee bit of caution out there.
Some other parts of the economy may be lagging behind just a little bit.
Yeah, the most recent data was actually pretty encouraging.
So we had the New Zealand Activity Index from Stats New Zealand for December.
It was a 1.8% increase in that 12 months to December.
When you look across Q4 as a whole, the average increase was about 2.3%.
So across October, November, December, each result was actually pretty positive.
Now you can sort of do some fiddling behind the scenes and translate that into a quarterly GDP path for those official benchmark numbers.
What that implies is about a 0.6% lift in GDP in the fourth quarter.
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