Konstantin Kisin
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Appearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
The reason it's a good analogy is because the period you're talking about, industrial revolution right before it, this period where there wasn't this balance of power, where one group of people actually did develop technology much faster than others,
you did see this extreme asymmetry in the ability to... And so you just had individual European countries, the sun never sets on the British Empire, as you know, just able to take over tremendous amounts of area around the world.
I mean, the craziest stories of these are how Cortes takes over the Aztec Empire and Pizarro takes over the Incas.
Truly outrageous stories.
Like, people should... Yeah, like a few hundred soldiers get some local allies and just destroys this giant empire.
And even before they get the local allies, there's a story where Pizarro, the first battle he has against, I forget the name of the Inca emperor,
There's a couple hundred of Pizarro's men exhausted after a huge trek across the Andes.
And he's facing down, like, 60,000 Inca troops.
And he wins.
And interestingly, by the way, this had nothing to do with gunpowder.
It was just horses and steel.
Especially horses were a huge, huge deal in battles.
Now, the reason that...
EIs will also have these kinds of weird asymmetric advantages.
Obviously there'll be, let's just name a couple, right?
So obviously they'll be smart, right?
They'll be thinking incredibly fast.
There'll be way more of them.
So right now, if you just looked at the amount of compute in our brains versus the amount of compute that's in data centers,
We could do this back at the envelope calculation, but I think it's probably on the order of 1, 1,000, the amount of compute.