Latif Nasser
speaker
1,920 appearances
26 recordings
8 series
first heard Sep 2025
last heard 14 Aug
Latif Nasser’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
Trend
recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 25 in all, peaking in May 2026 with 7.
Appearances
Unlike the Iowa electronic markets and DARPA's policy analysis market, Polymarket and Kalshi are for-profit entities.
They make money on every transaction.
But they're not the first companies to try and take prediction markets commercial.
This is our prediction markets guide and historian, economist Coleman Strumpf.
It's not a coincidence that both Intrade and Betfair were based overseas.
As the professors at the University of Iowa found out in the late 1980s, you need permission from the federal government to run a futures market in the United States.
And so far, the U.S.
government had only given its blessing to one such market.
the Iowa electronic market.
So even though Intrade's founders were both from New York, they moved their company offshore to Ireland.
But Americans still use the site.
And when they started wagering money on U.S.
elections, the media took notice.
Both InTrade and Betfair were growing around the same time that Robin Hanson was helping to develop the policy analysis market at DARPA.
And in 2003, just a few months after the federal government pulled the plug on the policy analysis market, InTrade made its own headlines.
There was a market open on InTrade about whether Saddam Hussein would be, quote, captured or neutralized before the end of 2003.
In the fall, there wasn't much to report.
It didn't look like the U.S.
military had any particularly good leads.
But then, in early December, trade saying Hussein would be found spiked.
Showing 1501–1520 of 1,920 · page 76 of 96
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