Latif Nasser

speaker
2,276 appearances 27 recordings 8 series first heard Sep 2025 last heard 3d ago

Latif Nasser’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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recordings per month · last 12 months
7 · May OctJan 26AprJulnow

Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 26 in all, peaking in May 2026 with 7.

Appearances

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For example, the New York Times recently did a close examination of polymarket users.
It identified some 11,000 accounts that raised, quote, warning signs.
That included successful long-shot bets, extremely well-timed wagers by new accounts, and bettors who gambled on a specific topic without ever losing.
A lot of these users focus on military operations, so there's reason to believe the traders may have been people who work for the U.S.
military or the government.
Paul Rohde, Coleman Strump's former colleague, has been following prediction markets for decades.
And he says this ethical question is one he thinks about not just in terms of what's happening with prediction markets now, but where they're likely to go in the future.
Back in 2003, the economist Robin Hansen looked on as that feeling of disgust swallowed up his DARPA project, the policy analysis market.
But watching what's happening with prediction markets today, he says he's excited.
He hopes this is just the beginning of a future where prediction markets are a much bigger part of our lives.
You sound so optimistic, and then there's this part of me that's like, do I want to calculate every decision I ever make?
Like, it gives me anxiety.
Coleman Strumpf went from watching horse racing as a kid to studying prediction markets and says economists have almost always felt more optimistic about prediction markets than regular Americans.
Every time these markets make a comeback, economists want to believe they're back for good.
But as long as Coleman's been studying this history, he says that's never been the case.
It's a repeating cycle, a boom in popularity followed by a crash out.
Because the more money and power prediction markets hold, the more controversy they attract.
Are you surprised at how far we have come in the last, you know, 30 years from those three professors walking into a bar in Iowa to now people betting on pretty much everything, right?
As far as what might happen next, Coleman says he's glad he doesn't have to put money on it.
And that's it for this week's show.
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