Laurence Norman

speaker
77 appearances 6 recordings 2 series first heard Nov 2024 last heard 22 Jul

Laurence Norman’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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recordings per month · last 12 months
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Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 3 in all, peaking in Jul 2026 with 1.

Appearances

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I mean, the U.S.
is talking about the importance of reaching a deal and President Trump wants to talk and he's just tweeted out that it's going to be some huge reset.
The Iranians think that they've survived the war and they're making all kinds of preconditions for the talks and talking about the enemy that they destroyed and converting their battlefield wins into diplomatic wins.
So the Iranians' biggest leverage now is their control of the Strait of Hormuz.
That is a huge economic problem for the rest of the world.
And it's going to be pretty difficult to wrest control from Iran militarily.
The survival of the regime after 40 days of being pummeled by the Israeli and US Air Force is a kind of leverage.
But more importantly, they still have nuclear assets.
in particular highly enriched uranium, that they could use to build a nuclear weapon.
On the US side, they obviously have military leverage, but the US also has powerful economic sanctions that force not just US companies, but most of the world, not to do business with Iran.
Iran's number one goal for many years has been the removal of those sanctions, and that is hefty leverage the US has in its pockets.
So number one issue is what happens to Hormuz?
How can the world get vessels back through the Hormuz?
And in return for Iran giving greater freedom, even if it maintains some control, what does Iran get?
The number two issue, the US wants Iran to stop enriching uranium and close down its nuclear program.
Iran has spent 15 years, 20 years telling the U.S.
it won't do that.
That will need to be resolved.
That will take a serious amount of time.
And the two sides are quite far apart.
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