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Lewis Hart

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
368 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

So I think everyone talks about power, you know, and power is really important and there needs to be lots of power capacity in order to build the AI revolution.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

Copper is as important and you see copper prices at record highs, largely because of how much copper data centers are consuming because of all the electrical capacity that needs to be in that infrastructure.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

In general, our philosophy is we don't know where the price is going.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

So we try to be price agnostic, but you can't help but notice trends, see things early.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

And one example would be in 2020 when COVID hit, you just saw freight prices skyrocketing.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

I think well before the market, you saw...

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

things like steel going up quickly and those prices being passed down the supply chain.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

You definitely can see things that feed into the PPI, ultimately the CPI.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

When you live upstream the way we do in these metal energy ag supply chains, you often see things first and before they actually get transmitted into the economic data.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

Now, it's just one side of it, so it may not be conclusive, but it certainly provides us with lots of interesting information.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

Yeah, and there are.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

Because it's like everyone wakes to this volatility.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

Yeah.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

There's not super liquid, but there are tanker contracts you can buy.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

Yeah, I just noticed this.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

Cape says, but it looks like there's almost no liquid.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

Yeah, there's not.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

The bid ask is pretty wide, but people do try to make markets.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

So dry bulk freight, you can go long or short.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

Trucking, I think, is a good candidate for it.