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Lewis Hart

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
368 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

I think because trucking in a lot of ways follows the diesel market, because the biggest kind of variable cost of trucking is...

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

So there's already an assumption to hedge that.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

A little bit.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

It's not perfect, but it's pretty highly correlated.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

Well, one thing I'd worry about with onions is perishability.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

Yeah, right.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

So I think putting onions in a warehouse, if you had a physical settlement process, could be a little dangerous because you can only store them for so long.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

But onions, they are pretty homogenous as far as I know.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

Maybe I'm missing like a specific type of onion.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

So there's some basis risk.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

You know what my favorite onion is?

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

Great question.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

I think we saw that starting actually with the Houthi issue in the Red Sea.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

And if you think about voyages, for example, from Shanghai to Northern Europe, take that route, which is a pretty big route.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

They used to go through the Suez Canal.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

Suez Canal kind of closes because ships are not comfortable taking that risk.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

Suddenly, they're now routing around the Cape of Good Hope.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

And back to my point on kind of this age of bottlenecks and disruption, that's adding 10, 15, maybe more in terms of shipping days, which adds to the working capital requirement.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

Right.

Odd Lots
The Hidden Plumbing of Commodity Finance

Adds to the cost, the day rate on the ship, the insurance.