Lori Siegel
๐ค SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
So taking control of the Strait is basically a continuation of the war.
Now I could see it as in, I'll take control of the Strait away from
Iran, which means that they'll have to break because they'll have no more money and that's their only real point of leverage.
But that isn't something that's actually going to wind up the war.
The only way that I see that he could truly try to declare victory and say this is all over is to go in and actually take out their entire nuclear stockpile.
in terms of the material that could be enriched at some of their facilities.
But that is fraught with risk in the middle of mountains.
They're going to turn it into a death trap.
A lot of it is buried under rubble because we did that.
And so it's not even that easy to go and get.
There's no good options here.
Like in terms of ground options, taking islands, you're sitting ducks for drones, for missiles, for, you know, they want us to invade.
They've even said that.
They're like, we've been preparing for this and we want you to come and to try and take our territory.
We're happy to try and to fight you.
A lot of them will die, but it will actually probably mobilize their population
more than ever, and of course, they want the American populace to turn against casualties.
So for them, it might even be a good thing.
Now, on the islands and the straits and all that stuff, the military logic would not necessarily be one that would truly break the negotiation power.
I really think that the nuclear option is the only one.