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Marcus Hutter

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
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912 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

It's the best you can do.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

So if something is unpredictable, Solomonov will also not magically predict it.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

But if there is some pattern and predictability, then Solomonov induction will figure that out eventually, and not just eventually, but rather quickly, and you can have proof convergence rates.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

whatever your data is.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

So there's pure magic in a sense.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

What's the catch?

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

Well, the catch is that it's not computable and we come back to that later.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

You cannot just implement it even with Google resources here and run it and predict the stock market and become rich.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

And so let's go to the actions now.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

But actually good that you asked.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

Usually I skip this part, although that is also a minor contribution, which I did.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

So the action part, but I usually sort of just jump to the decision part.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

So let me explain the action part now.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

Thanks for asking.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

So you have to modify it a little bit.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

by now not just predicting a sequence which just comes to you, but you have an observation, then you act somehow,

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

And then you want to predict the next observation based on the past observation and your action.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

Then you take the next action.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

You don't care about predicting it because you're doing it.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#75 โ€“ Marcus Hutter: Universal Artificial Intelligence, AIXI, and AGI

And then you get the next observation.