Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 β Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East
But what I think is absolutely certain is that if Iran...
Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 β Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East
develops that nuclear weapon and is allowed to retain the key capabilities to do so, you're going to see five, six countries in the Middle East, at least three, four countries in the Indo-Pacific asking for the same capability.
Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 β Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East
And then you're going to have a club of nuclear weapons powers that will have an additional five, six, seven over the next 10 to 20 years.
Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 β Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East
Oh, I think it sends the opposite message, Lex.
Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 β Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East
I think if they see what has happened and that it's successful and it stopped Iran from developing nuclear weapons and in addition...
Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 β Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East
Trump was able to negotiate an agreement for zero enrichment and full dismantlement, then the message to all these other countries is, number one, you don't need it.
Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 β Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East
And number two, if you try to get it, then the United States is going to use American power.
Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 β Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East
Now, I'm not suggesting the United States is going to start bombing the Saudis or the Turks or the Emiratis, clearly not the Japanese.
Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 β Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East
I mean, many of them are our allies.
Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 β Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East
But I think the
Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 β Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East
counterproliferation tools to prevent these countries from developing nuclear weapons, including sanctions and export controls and many of the things.
Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 β Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East
And plus, I think those countries... I understand that in the Middle East, despite Scott's focus on Israel, when you talk to Arab leaders, their biggest concern is the threat from Iran.
Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 β Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East
It's not the threat from Israel.
Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 β Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East
They're not concerned with the threat from Israel.
Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 β Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East
That's why you had the Abraham Accords.
Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 β Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East
You know, this is why the UAE and Bahrain and Morocco entered into this peace agreement with Israel.
Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 β Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East
The Saudis will one day, and they'll bring many other Arab and Muslim countries in it.
Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 β Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East
They don't say Israel is a threat.
Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 β Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East
They see Iran as a threat.
Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 β Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East
And so if you counter that threat, you eliminate Iran's nuclear weapons proliferation and expansion.