Mark Halperin

And the one more is a challenge.

So let's start with them.

Let's start with Iowa.

Iowa is an open race.

Joni Ernst is retiring.

Democrats have a primary in June.

Republicans have a very strong candidate.

Every source I talk to, both parties, Ashley Hinson, congresswoman from Iowa's second congressional district,

She's a strong candidate.

Now, she's not an incumbent.

She's not one statewide, run statewide.

But she's a perfectly strong candidate.

She's a good politician, good at raising money, popular in the state, unites the different wings of the Republican Party.

So ain't nothing wrong with Ashley Hinson as a candidate in the abstract.

Democrats, first of all, they've got a primary, and you never know with the primary, right?

You never know who's going to win.

Now, they've got two candidates in the Democratic Party, State Senator Zach Walz and State Representative Josh Turek.

Walz is the favorite, but he's a state senator.

He's not a member of Congress.

He's not run for federal office before.