Mark Halperin

So as you go through these races, you see why people are skeptical.

There's reasons in all of them.

Now, one of them has got an incumbent in Alaska, an incumbent Republican.

Iowa's an open race.

And again, it's always easier for the party who doesn't hold the seat now to win it if it's an open race.

And then Texas is the hybrid about whether it's an open or not, because it'll depend on how the primary comes out.

So let's talk about those three.

And again, I'll say

You got to find one.

If you're the kind of person who wants to go around and say, oh, Democrats are very likely to take the majority in the Senate or Democrats have a great shot, you got to have an explanation.

You got to say, if you think Democrats are going to win the majority, they're going to win all six.

They're going to hold Michigan.

They're going to hold New Hampshire.

They're going to hold Georgia.

They're going to win North Carolina.

They're going to win Maine.

They're going to win Ohio.

And then you've got to name one more.

Again, you're not a serious person.

You're not making a serious projection or an analytical statement about control of the Senate unless you can name the one more.