Mark Halperin

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All right, next up, let me talk you through how I see the battle for control of the Senate.

It's not a sure thing either way.

In the last couple weeks, many people, including myself, have said Democrats' chances of taking the majority have gone from negligible to significant.

And I still believe that's the case.

I do believe that Democrats had virtually no chance to win Senate majority before, even before.

an off a midterm election that should favor the democrats uh and now i think they have a chance but i believe most analysts and the betting markets are overstating the democrats chances and i'll tell you why this is the most basic thing when somebody says to you i think democrats are going to take the majority or i think democrats have a good chance to take the majority ask them this question which seats are they going to win right

it's not an abstract question.

Currently in the Senate, Republicans have a 53 to 47 majority, right?

After the election, Democrats will need 51 seats.

A 50-50 tie doesn't help them because the Republicans control the White House.

So again, I don't have my abacus out, but I can say this.

Democrats have to net, net,

four Senate seats to get the majority.