Mark Montgomery
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Appearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
Yeah.
So first thing I said, Russia's in trouble, right?
I've been saying for about a year of being there that I could not visualize how Ukraine loses.
I don't know how Ukraine wins exactly, but they are not going to lose militarily.
Their military resilience is strong.
They'll lose a square meter, a kilometer here, a kilometer there, but they gain them back.
And in fact, in this, the last three months, they've gained slight pieces of territory.
But they are two generations ahead of the Russians on kind of like a drone technology innovation, which is about six months.
And they've got to keep that up.
But they are preventing the Russians from being able to mass successfully and do significant breakthroughs that are immediately enveloped and destroyed.
So they are not going to lose militarily.
so what's russia doing they're trying to break their civil resilience their societal resilience and that's what you're seeing in these strikes and you're exactly right these kind of like um these orchestrated premeditated you know indicated strikes you know it's coming it's coming to a village near you right got a strike and um and they're and look they have the advantage that the
ukrainians are clearly very low on patriot so when they do a strike of say seven six hundred drones 580 of their shahids will be shot down by the ukrainians they have great drone defenses the kind of drone defenses i wish we had in the middle east they use a mix of air drones like we have in fact it's a us f-16 with a u.s uh you know a
U.S.
actually seen that was donated by a European country where the U.S.
advanced precision kill weapons is to rocket the same ones we use in the Mideast.
It's great.
But beyond that, they then have a ground based interceptor force, which we don't have.
So they knock out ninety five, ninety six percent of them.
The problem is the ballistic missiles, the ballistic missiles, a high percentage are allowed to land.