Martin Wolf

speaker
495 appearances 3 recordings 1 series first heard Nov 2024 last heard Jun 2025

Martin Wolf’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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But he is very brilliant.
But the and uh I think no i i i I really don't know and I'm not um somebody who makes his money in the markets, um, but I think the most likely outcome
is that at the end of all this
Some important parts of the domestic system of the United States will have been permanently damaged, particularly the universities, science, probably the rule of law to some degree.
But the world is not gonna change that much.
In the end, Trump is not a convinced revolutionary.
Uh he's chaotic and irresponsible, but he sort of quite likes things the way they are.
Not a real fanatic, and there's tremendous inertia in the system, and as we've been discussing, replacing the dollar with something else, well there isn't a there isn't a good replacement.
They just aren't credible replacements for a whole host of reasons.
So I would Alice you rightly say as well, well if you look at the market pricing, which is what this most recent column was about, it all looks rather normal.
Uh of the the really big prices, you know real yields, expected inflation, uh um uh uh conventional uh bond yields and so forth, they all look perfectly normal.
It's just that we were used to this this almost twenty year interlude of real rates at zero or negative and and uh bond yields are close to zero as well.
But that's just a freak as
result of this huge financial crisis so forth.
So you could say we're back to normal, it looks normal, and in the end, um Trump and his administration are not completely insane and they're not going to blow up the world.
And if they're not going to blow up the world, the best bet has to be
The dollar will remain dominant and the US rule remain for the foreseeable future of the world's most important economy.
And it's more not just about the rest of the world.
Their biggest threat, in fact, is that American companies decide that investing in America isn't reliable because they don't know what the tariff you know, what the regulations or the tariffs or whatever affecting their business are going to be tomorrow.
Uh that's even bigger threat than the US is fairly self sufficient in investment.
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