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Matt Cerminaro

πŸ‘€ Speaker
299 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

So going back to this idea that like, you know, AI is infallible and AI can just do everything that we want it to do.

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

Not true, there's proof.

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

Let's do this chart real quick on.

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

Well, hang on.

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

I went too fast.

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

No, it's okay.

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

are we looking at matt all right look at this move in semis okay so i know that we know that semis are ripping but holy hell okay the chart on the left is the rolling 44 trading day change 44 days is since the march 30 2026 like sort of short term low up 64 that's the second uh the second highest

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

return over 44 day trading period since 1993.

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

And then on the right, we have the rolling returns since October 12th, 2022, which is 912 trading days.

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

And we've never had a 912 trading day change that is this high.

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

It's 796% since October 12th.

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

Yeah, John, you want to throw up this chart of the year-over-year revenue growth of these different holdings within IGV?

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

There we go.

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

I mean, Palantir, Crushing, 56% revenue growth, Datadog, CrowdStrike, ServiceNow.

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

These companies are growing their revenue.

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

I think the the weakness in these stocks is the market just rewriting them, saying the multiple is is not as premium as it deserved before artificial intelligence, literally.

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

And there's a rewriting that has to happen.

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

And like those charts you showed before, Michael, the stock price is going to discount what's going to happen.

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

The stock price is going to like the price moves first and the reasons will follow later.

The Compound and Friends
What You Need to Survive a Bull Market

And we don't know the reasons yet.