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Michael Batnick

πŸ‘€ Speaker
4114 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

There's games in New York too.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

New Jersey.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

The World Cup's everywhere.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

It's like North America's hosting.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

For game two, it's sinking like stone.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

It's like 700 now, 600.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

It was like 1,000 a couple days ago.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

Unbelievable.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

I'm definitely a fan.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

Yeah, I'm not as optimistic.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

I mean, I haven't been optimistic now for, it feels like, what, almost a year and a half.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

So that's been a shift for me.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

I would tend to agree with most of what Skanda said.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

I mean, look, I will point out, though, that right before all this Iran stuff started,

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

10-year yields were at 3.93%, right?

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

I mean, we're kind of right there for additional cuts for this year.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

So, you know, I think since then, a couple things have changed, obviously.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

To Skanda's point, the distribution of risks around inflation have changed.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

But the labor markets aren't as bad as they were at the end of last year.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

I mean, they're not nearly as strong as they were a few years ago, but it's not nearly as bad as it was last year.