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Michael Batnick

πŸ‘€ Speaker
4118 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

You continue to see sluggish growth in structures investment.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

So if that red line converges onto the gray line, well, then maybe the Fed can wait it out.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

Maybe the Fed can wait it out.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

And so I think that, to me, is the kind of conversation.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

So I think Scanda's a little bit more on the hawkish side of things right now than I am.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

It's unusual for us to be that unaligned.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

But that's kind of where the debate is right now.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

So, you know, for me, like...

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

In my career, I've always put more weight on labor and housing.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

And so that's why I probably sit more on the dovish side of things at the moment.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

As an example, apparel prices have been rising very, very rapidly over the last year.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

But what's happening to the real volume of clothing that's being sold?

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

It's actually contracting.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

Like, how can firms make that stick, right?

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

It's very difficult to make the price increases stick if labor income isn't there.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

I mean, someone has to do the dirty work.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

I mean, you can't get half the people on the street to actually say what they really think about them.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

So I guess if one person has to do it, I guess I will.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

You know, that's sort of how I think about it.

The Compound and Friends
Neil Dutta & Skanda on Why the Recession Signals Are All Wrong

I mean, that's one of the benefits of working at a smaller place.