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Michael Nadeau

πŸ‘€ Speaker
1019 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Bankless
Where Do We Go From Here? | Michael Nadeau

And we've typically seen Bitcoin act as like a liquidity index in some ways.

Bankless
Where Do We Go From Here? | Michael Nadeau

And so when Bitcoin has gone down in the last few cycles,

Bankless
Where Do We Go From Here? | Michael Nadeau

the Nasdaq has followed at some point.

Bankless
Where Do We Go From Here? | Michael Nadeau

And so that could be the next, the next like kind of thing to drop here that's going to give us some more clarity on where Bitcoin's going.

Bankless
Where Do We Go From Here? | Michael Nadeau

This is, yeah, so this is Bitcoin versus NASDAQ.

Bankless
Where Do We Go From Here? | Michael Nadeau

It's the ratio.

Bankless
Where Do We Go From Here? | Michael Nadeau

So this is the ratio between Bitcoin, the NASDAQ composite index.

Bankless
Where Do We Go From Here? | Michael Nadeau

So Bitcoin price divided by NASDAQ composite index.

Bankless
Where Do We Go From Here? | Michael Nadeau

And it kind of looks like your Bitcoin chart, right?

Bankless
Where Do We Go From Here? | Michael Nadeau

It shows the cycles, but it's actually priced in NASDAQ.

Bankless
Where Do We Go From Here? | Michael Nadeau

And the reason I think it's interesting, we did this exercise last week and we looked at gold relationship between the ratio between BTC and gold.

Bankless
Where Do We Go From Here? | Michael Nadeau

And we're trying to project out, you know, how big was the drop in the past?

Bankless
Where Do We Go From Here? | Michael Nadeau

And then what could that look like for this cycle?

Bankless
Where Do We Go From Here? | Michael Nadeau

And then what could the price points of each asset look like if we got there?

Bankless
Where Do We Go From Here? | Michael Nadeau

So what we're showing here is that in the 17 cycle cycle,

Bankless
Where Do We Go From Here? | Michael Nadeau

there was an 83% decline in the Bitcoin to NASDAQ ratio from peak to tro.

Bankless
Where Do We Go From Here? | Michael Nadeau

That's your year-long bear market right there.

Bankless
Where Do We Go From Here? | Michael Nadeau

And that's the same idea that we had.

Bankless
Where Do We Go From Here? | Michael Nadeau

This is actually stretching it out a little bit because we're going from the first peak of the 21 cycle, which was in April of 2021,

Bankless
Where Do We Go From Here? | Michael Nadeau

down to late 2022.