Mike Knoop
speaker
927 appearances
4 recordings
1 series
first heard Mar 2025
last heard 18 Nov
Mike Knoop’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Nov 2025 with 1.
Appearances
Um, you know, this was sort of my big issue when we were going through all the ten forty seven legislation last year in California is trying to make predictions about what future harm might happen.
By being able to predict the future and in some cases poorly predict the future.
I think even ARC, you know, was dem a sort of clear demonstration of an eval that suggested we were not just scaling up pre-training.
AGI is not just going to emerge from scaling up this pre-training regime.
And that was sort of the predicated thesis on why we needed something like 1047 at the time to like stop this imminent, urgent, potentially dangerous.
Scaling.
Um so now I I actually think uh you know, my sort of view probably aligns quite closely with open answer.
I think you actually need to deploy the technology into the environment, into the world in order to make contact with reality and learn what are the actual issues that you care about.
What does society care about?
Um my my sort of view is that like
uh society is actually better at dealing with um fast change than slow change.
Uh you know, this is another kind of counterpoint that I think if if you go look at the AI safety community would argue, oh, slow slow takeoff is better than fast takeoff.
Yeah, I think in a lot of capabilities areas, actually fast takeoff is slight is is perhaps desirable because humans notice change.
This is like literally what we're evolved to do is in our environment, we notice when things change fast.
We don't notice when things change slow, right?
The frog boiling and the pocket
sort of the classic table here, right?
Um and so I think fast change stories like this issues with psychosis are good in a in a weird way because they uh they um are sort of are societal antibodies of like oh okay something changed here, we should react to it.
Where sort of societal antibodies are like, Oh, something changed.
Yep.
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