Mike McGlone

So I think this is a classic example.

Unless there's some major disruptions, I'm pretty sure the U.S.

military will probably render

Iran probably defences rather rapidly.

We might get that classic pump into the risks and dump afterwards.

So I'm fully expecting come Monday, crude oil will probably be lower.

Crude oil was already up 20% on the year.

Brent running near very good resistance, around $72 a barrel.

And the key question is, will there be a reduction, a sustained reduction in supply?

Remember, Iran only produces exports maybe one to two million barrels a day.

The U.S.

net exports are running four million barrels a day.

So I think this is a classic example.

Unless there's some major disruptions, I'm pretty sure the U.S.

military will probably render

Iran probably defences rather rapidly.

We might get that classic pump into the risks and dump afterwards.

So I'm fully expecting come Monday crude oil will probably be lower.

We don't know exactly what's going to happen.

Will there be a sustained supply destruction?