Mike Murphy

speaker

1,603 appearances 6 recordings 4 series first heard Jan 2026 last heard 7 Aug

Mike Murphy’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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recordings per month · last 12 months

Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 6 in all, peaking in Jan 2026 with 2.

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The Bulwark Daily · Mike Murphy: The Sh*t Is Sticking to Trump · 22 May 2026 podcast

It's not hard.

They've been looking at lousy polls, even people in safe seats for a year that have just gotten worse.

And Trump's gotten more erratic.

So they're just kind of buckling down for heavy weather and trying to figure out how to survive.

And hanging out with him is not as good of a survival strategy.

You know, Whit Air is a great pollster.

I think a lot of people ask it now.

I believe he was the first.

Apologies if I get this wrong, but would ask people on the ID question on a poll, you know, you're a Republican, self-reported.

And then he'd have a follow up.

Are you more of a Trump Republican or more of a party Republican?

And that number moves.

When Trump is screwing up, he goes under 50 on the number of Republicans who say they're Trump Republican.

When he's doing well, it'll push up close to 70.

And after he lost to Biden, it was down, I think, in the 40s.

So, you know, the glue is stretchy there.

And we're heading the other way on that scale.

And I'm sure I haven't seen one lately in a key Senate state, but I'm sure it's declining.

They finally found out that when there's a pain fest in Washington, ultimately it goes to the incumbent president's party because they're perceived as being in charge.

So the pain does – it takes a zigzaggy route, but it'll get there.

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