Mike Treacy

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156 appearances 1 recordings 1 series first heard Jul 2026 last heard 16 Jul

Mike Treacy’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Jul 2026 with 1.

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Odd Lots · Why Soccer Analytics Works Like Volatility Arbitrage Trading · 16 Jul 2026 podcast

And it started to stimulate this discussion of does this represent what should have happened, what should have been the outcome?

And I think it started to lead us down this path of where is XG flawed?

It only registers when you have a shot.

And so there is much more to the game than simply which shots occur.

There's possession and the threat of each possession.

There's match momentum and there's changing styles.

So it's evolved from on-ball data to tracking data to now we're going to that deeper layer of body pose and what movements can prevent or create opportunities to score.

I think it's control the controllables.

That's a fixed parameter within the game is that uncertainty that you can't control and it's hard to predict.

There is human error, obviously, and it's impossible to isolate when that's going to happen in a match and how it will.

You just sort of play the game.

presents new opportunities for data because that is an event that happens if a player is fractionally offside because his hand is ahead of the last defender that doesn't take away from the fact that he still got into a good opportunistic position possessed the ball turned and struck the ball in the net and often that data is nullified because of the var but

In theory, it's something that you should consider in your data set.

Within the raw data itself, there's tons of data that you could add or sensor out.

You know, Joris mentioned red cards, and a lot of our models, we sensor that out of our data set.

There's an infamous match from three years ago

between Chelsea and Tottenham, where Tottenham went down to nine men and their response was to play a very high line, meaning they put all of their defenders up near midfield and tried to catch Chelsea off sides.

And as one would expect, Chelsea proceeded to score

multiple goals later in the match.

And one player in particular, Nicholas Jackson, had three goals in that one match.

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