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Morgan Housel

πŸ‘€ Speaker
6219 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

My First Million
10 Years of Money Wisdom in 51 Minutes | Morgan Housel

That's probably right.

My First Million
10 Years of Money Wisdom in 51 Minutes | Morgan Housel

And what's interesting about it is if you go back to 2016 when I joined,

My First Million
10 Years of Money Wisdom in 51 Minutes | Morgan Housel

The companies that were going to be our obvious winners weren't, and most of them don't exist anymore.

My First Million
10 Years of Money Wisdom in 51 Minutes | Morgan Housel

And the companies that did just explode, upstart, were companies that were like, oh, that's a cool company.

My First Million
10 Years of Money Wisdom in 51 Minutes | Morgan Housel

They're doing some cool things.

My First Million
10 Years of Money Wisdom in 51 Minutes | Morgan Housel

But never in a million years would we have thought this was going to be it.

My First Million
10 Years of Money Wisdom in 51 Minutes | Morgan Housel

So not only is it a small minority of companies that are your winners, but similar to what Mona said, you don't even know which ones those are going to be.

My First Million
10 Years of Money Wisdom in 51 Minutes | Morgan Housel

It's very difficult to know in real time.

My First Million
10 Years of Money Wisdom in 51 Minutes | Morgan Housel

And nobody saw that coming.

My First Million
10 Years of Money Wisdom in 51 Minutes | Morgan Housel

I didn't see it coming.

My First Million
10 Years of Money Wisdom in 51 Minutes | Morgan Housel

The publishers didn't see it coming.

My First Million
10 Years of Money Wisdom in 51 Minutes | Morgan Housel

I've said this a million times before, but every US publisher turned it down.

My First Million
10 Years of Money Wisdom in 51 Minutes | Morgan Housel

Every single US publisher rejected it.

My First Million
10 Years of Money Wisdom in 51 Minutes | Morgan Housel

And I don't fault them.

My First Million
10 Years of Money Wisdom in 51 Minutes | Morgan Housel

It's impossible to know what's going to work before it comes out.

My First Million
10 Years of Money Wisdom in 51 Minutes | Morgan Housel

It's hard to know because there's not a lot of, if you're looking at the last 10 or 15 years, there's pretty good industry data that you can compare across time.

My First Million
10 Years of Money Wisdom in 51 Minutes | Morgan Housel

But if you go back 100 years, you're dealing with like the data sources are so all over the place.

My First Million
10 Years of Money Wisdom in 51 Minutes | Morgan Housel

Not many.

My First Million
10 Years of Money Wisdom in 51 Minutes | Morgan Housel

I don't know, probably five, something like that.

My First Million
10 Years of Money Wisdom in 51 Minutes | Morgan Housel

No, I think I'm being very honest.