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Morgan Housel

πŸ‘€ Speaker
6219 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

It's a very complicated thing.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

And history is littered with

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

Terrible decisions and meltdowns.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

It's all that.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

It's also littered with examples, whether it is the end of World War II or the 1970s or the late 1990s or 2008 or maybe today, of the obvious narrative in hindsight being completely wrong.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

So that's less of a pushback.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

I'm not saying what you're saying is wrong.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

I'm just saying I come from a level of pure humility when trying to figure out what the economy is going to do next.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

One of the issues with this is that when we're studying fallen empires,

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

the sample size that we're dealing with is so incredibly small.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

And it's never apples to apples.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

And if you really get deep into it, is there truly any comparison between the Roman Empire and the United States today?

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

Philosophically, maybe, but in terms of the structure of the global economy.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

And I mean, it's very difficult to make direct comparisons.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

Psychologically, philosophical comparisons, ego, that kind of thing too.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

I don't know.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

So here's maybe the difference between you and I. Sorry, did you have my, did we interrupt you?

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

No, no, no.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

We both agree we're in trouble.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Trade Wars, Student Debt, and the K-Shaped Economy: Navigating Financial Turbulence Today | Morgan Housel On Impact Theory w/ Tom Bilyeu Pt. 2

it sounds like maybe your definition of trouble is some version of collapse.