Nate Cohn

It seems relatively nonwhite as well.

That is so dissatisfied with the country and with their prospects and with the opportunities that they have in life that they're open to very nontraditional political candidacies that we wouldn't have imagined in 1997.

And I think we have reason to believe that those pressures are still building.

We've been in an era of change elections now for at least a decade and perhaps going all the way back to 2008.

The mainstream of both parties has sort of been discredited by failures in government, whether it was the failures of Bush or the failures of Obama and Biden or now the failures of Trump.

Those failures by mainstream politicians creates openings for new ideas, outsiders.

Now, as we've seen from these same efforts, including Donald Trump himself, if those change candidates win and then fail to address the problems that they campaigned on, we just start the cycle all over again where voters then will go back to the drawing board looking for change.

So that may mean the next change candidate looks nothing like the last one.

But as long as these deep simmering problems continue to exist in American society, we're going to keep having voters looking for something very different from what they've had before.

Thanks for having me.

Well, after interviewing more than 1,300 Americans from across the country last week, we found almost the exact same results that we did in April.

on most of the important questions, despite all that's transpired over the last five or six months.

Trump's approval rating is one point different than it was in April.

It's at 43% now.

The Democrats are up two points in the race for Congress compared to three in April.

On almost every issue that we asked about, the results are just within a couple points of what they were six months ago.

I think it's worth going back to where we were when we conducted our last poll.

This was just after the Liberation Day tariffs were announced.

It was when Kilmar Abrego-Garcia was in El Salvador.

And at that time, Donald Trump was suffering a clear political cost for the excesses of his actions.