Nate Cohn
👤 SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
Can we come up with a candidate who bridges our divides, who we can all rally behind?
And then there's the question of whether that candidate can succeed in the general election.
I do happen to think that the combination of attributes that we've been talking about, economic populism,
The emphasis of the on cultural issues and opposition to Israel would play pretty well with all of young black and Latino voters in twenty twenty eight.
But I think that the core task that the party is trying to solve for right now is an internal one that even precedes how to try and win over voters in the general election.
To take a different example, the Republicans have solved these problems for themselves, right?
They want to be the party of Donald Trump, and that may cost them the 2026 and 2028 election, but they know who they are.
Let's just start by reiterating that last point before we go into the divisions.
The Republican Party is mostly unified behind Donald Trump.
Not only do they approve of Donald Trump's performance as president today, they also would like the next Republican candidate for president to follow Donald Trump's lead rather than go in a new direction.
And they want to follow Donald Trump's lead on every issue that we asked about.
So the overarching story here is much clearer on the Republican side than it is on the Democratic side.
That said, there is a meaningful minority of Republicans who don't approve the president's conduct and who would like to see the Republican presidential candidate go in a new direction.
These voters are disproportionately young and non-white.
And in fact, a majority of 18 to 44-year-olds in the poll want to see the next Republican president
take the party in a new direction, and a majority of non-white Republicans want to see the next presidential candidate take the party in a new direction, and they say so by wide two-to-one margins.
On the issues, it seems pretty clear that the cost of living and foreign policy are crucial points of discontent.
So this is a very different kind of opposition to Donald Trump than the one that you might remember from the so-called never Trumpers back in 2016, who opposed Donald Trump because he was an isolationist and opposed free trade and opposed comprehensive immigration reform.
This new kind of dissatisfaction from young and nonwhite Republicans is in many cases because he hasn't necessarily followed through with his promise to put America first, as he would put it.